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Impacts of Sugar Import Policy on Sugar Production in Indonesia

机译:食糖进口政策对印尼食糖生产的影响

摘要

Production of sugar unful lled consumption of Indonesia society. The lack of consumption and productionhave ful lled by import. Assumption national consumption 2,7 million ton, Indonesia will import sugar in 2013predicted about 300.000 ton (Tempo.co, August, 21, 2012).The aims in general of this research are to understand the impact of sugar import policy on sugar production.Especially (1) to understand the factors that in uence sugar import price, (2) to understand impact of sugarimport price on sugar domestic price and (3) to understand the impact of sugar domestic price on sugarproduction.Model analysis of this research is Simultaneous Error Correction Model. This model can estimate the structuralparameter exactly (unbiased parameter) (Gujarati, 2010). Policy made on this research can be responsibly.The results of this research are shown that price of sugar import in uenced by world sugar price and thequantity of sugar imported and tariff is not. Price of domestic sugar in uenced imported sugar price. Anddomestic sugar price has in uence the sugar production.Import policy in sugar to ful ll lack of consumption and production will make decreased sugar domestic price.The decrease of sugar domestic price will impact on decrease of sugar production. That policy have dilemmaon consumption and production.
机译:糖生产无法满足印尼社会的消费需求。消费和生产的不足已由进口填补。假设全国消费量为270万吨,印度尼西亚将在2013年进口食糖,预计约为30万吨(Tempo.co,2012年8月21日)。该研究的总体目的是了解食糖进口政策对食糖生产的影响。特别是(1)了解影响食糖进口价格的因素;(2)了解食糖进口价格对食糖国内价格的影响;(3)了解食糖国内价格对食糖生产的影响。本研究的模型分析是同时进行的。纠错模型。该模型可以准确估计结构参数(无偏参数)(Gujarati,2010)。研究结果表明,糖的进口价格受世界糖价的影响,而糖的进口量和关税的影响不大。国内糖价按进口糖价折算。国内食糖价格影响了食糖生产。食糖进口政策的缺乏和消费的不足将导致食糖国内价格的下降。食糖国内价格的下降将影响食糖生产的减少。该政策使消费和生产陷入困境。

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